(ISSN:2581-6853; CODEN: GJNRA9; DOI: 10.33002/nr2581.6853) is an international, scientific double blind peer-reviewed open access journal published 3 times a year online by The Grassroots Institute.
Impact Factor: exaly
Open Access—free for readers, with article processing charges (APC) paid by authors or their institutions.
High Visibility: Indexed in the SCOPUS, Web of Science (Zoological Record, Biosis Previews, Biological Abstracts, Biosis Full Coverage Unique, and CAB Abstracts), EBSCO and other databases.
Fast Publication: Provisional acceptance of the submitted article is given in 1 week time. After consent of author(s), manuscript is peer-reviewed and a first decision provided to authors in 2-4 weeks after submission.
Recognition of Reviewers: The reviewers who provide timely, thorough peer-review reports receive vouchers entitling them to a discount on the APC of their next publication in the journal, in appreciation of the work done. Reviewers also receive Certificate for their voluntary service.
Coordinated and published by The Grassroots Institute, the Grassroots Journal of Natural Resources (GJNR) is an international journal dedicated to the latest advancements in natural resources throughout the world. The goal of this journal is to provide a platform for scientists, social scientists, policy analysts, managers and practitioners (on all academic and professional levels) all over the world to promote, discuss and share various new issues and developments in different arenas of natural resources.
Agricultural Vulnerability to Climate Change: A Critical Review of Evolving Assessment Approaches
Sk Mosharaf Hossain*1, Hrudananda Atibudhi2, Subhashree Mishra3
1Department of Agricultural Economics, Institute of Agricultural Sciences, Siksha O Anusandhan (Deemed to be University), Bhubaneswar, India.
Email: mosharaf.ximb@gmail.com | ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1164-4229
2Department of Agricultural Economics, Institute of Agricultural Sciences, Siksha O Anusandhan (Deemed to be University), Bhubaneswar, India.
Email: hnatibudhi@rediffmail.com | ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0001-3153-2320
3Department of Agricultural Economics, Institute of Agricultural Sciences, Siksha O Anusandhan (Deemed to be University), Bhubaneswar, India.
Email: subhashreem269@gmail.com | ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0000-8907-0117
*Corresponding author
Grassroots Journal of Natural Resources, 6(1): 141-165. Doi: https://doi.org/10.33002/nr2581.6853.060107
Received: 20 February 2023
Reviewed: 12 March 2023
Provisionally Accepted: 19 March 2023
Revised: 29 March 2023
Finally Accepted: 31 March 2023
Published: 13 April 2023
No. of Abstract Views:
No. of Full Paper Views:
No. of Paper Downloads:
The cumulative negative effects of climate change make agriculture increasingly vulnerable, with severe food security challenges, especially for developing nations. A robust research approach and a logical methodical framework can holistically assess the occurrence and intensity of agricultural vulnerability in a bid to strategize mitigation measures. This paper includes an in-depth review of the existing body of literature on agricultural risk and vulnerability, apart from recent studies and metric measurements of vulnerability having an emphasis on agriculture. Unlike the high priority on climate indicators in the past, contemporary research is progressively comprehensive and multidisciplinary where socioeconomic factors are integrated to make the assessment all-encompassing. Though this review paper found six major types of methodologies, the current vulnerability studies are predominantly index-based experiments adapted from the IPCC vulnerability concept. However, there is considerable variation across experiments concerning vulnerability conceptualization, selection of indicators, weight assignment and indexing techniques. Majority of the indexes encapsulate expert-recommended variables under sensitivity, exposure, and adaptive capacity. Such index-based measurements describe and compare vulnerability over space and time in order to formulate actionable policy measures. Uniform and robust techniques in indicator selection and statistically tenable weight allocation should be pursued in future research. To make the index highly representative and validated, the inadequacy of community perception should be minimized through the integration of PRA techniques within the experimental framework. Emerging threats such as loss of labour productivity in agriculture should be included in the analysis. The components of vulnerability also need to be analysed to comprehend their individual share in overall vulnerability for well-targeted mitigation measures. Constraints of data insufficiency required for vulnerability studies need attention for quality vulnerability research in the future. With such set priorities and focus, future research outcomes in vulnerability evaluation should be more meaningful and policy-focused.
Vulnerability; Sensitivity; Adaptive capacity; Labour productivity; Climate
Adger, W.N. (2006). Vulnerability. Global Environ., 16(3): 268–281. DOI:
Banerjee, A., Duflo, E., Chattopadhyay, R. and Shapiro, J. (2007). Targeting Efficiency: How well
Bedeke, S.B. (2023). Climate change vulnerability and adaptation of crop producers in sub-
Berry, P., Rounsevell, M., Harrison, P. and Audsley, E. (2006). Assessing the vulnerability of
Brooks, N. (2003). Vulnerability, Risk and Adaptation: A Conceptual Framework. Tyndall
Centre for Climate Change Research and Centre for Social and Economic Research on the Global Environment (CSERGE), School of Environmental Sciences University of East Anglia: Norwich, UK, pp.1–16. Available online at: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/
200032746_Vulnerability_Risk_and_Adaptation_A_Conceptual_Framework [accessed on 21 February 2023]
Cannon, T. and Twigg, J. (2005). Social Vulnerability, Sustainable Livelihoods and Disasters
Report to DFID Conflict and Humanitarian Assistance Department (CHAD) and Sustainable Livelihoods Support Office. London: DFID. Available online at: https://www.researchgate.net/
publication/254398816_Social_Vulnerability_Sustainable_Livelihoods_and_Disasters [accessed on 23 February 2023]
Choudhary, B.B. and Sirohi, S. (2022). Understanding vulnerability of agricultural production
Datta, P., Bhagirath Behera, B. and Rahut, D.B. (2022). Climate change and Indian agriculture: A
Doch, S., Diepart, J.C. and Heng, C. (2015). A multi-scale flood vulnerability assessment of
Dong, Z., Pan, Z., An P., Wang, L., Zhang, J., He, D., Han, H. and Pan, X. (2015). A novel
Ducusin, R.J., Espaldon, M.V.O., Rebancos, M.C. and Lucille, G. (2019). Vulnerability
Dwarakish, G., Vinay, S. and Natesan, U. (2009). Coastal vulnerability assessment of the future
Eddoughri, F., Lkammarte, F.Z., El Jarroudi, M., Lahlali, R., Karmaoui, A., Yacoubi Khebiza, M.
FAMRPAN (2004). Food, Agriculture, and Natural Resources Policy Analysis Network.
Frankenberger, T.R., Luther, K., Becht, J. and Katherine, M.C. (2002). Household Livelihood
Frankenberger, T.R., Mock, N. and Jere, P. (2005). Vulnerability Assessment Methodology
Füssel, H.M. (2007). Vulnerability: A generally applicable conceptual framework for climate
Füssel, H.M. and Klein, R.J.T. (2005). Climate change vulnerability assessments: An evolution of
Gbetibouo, G.A. and Ringler, C. (2009). Mapping South African farming sector vulnerability to
Glick, P., Stein, B.A. and Edelson, N.A. (2011). Scanning the Conservation Horizon: A Guide to
Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment. National Wildlife Federation, Washington, D.C. Available online at: https://www.fs.usda.gov/research/treesearch/37406 [accessed on 26 February 2023].
Gornitz, V. and Kanciruk, P. (1989) . Assessment of global coastal hazards from sea level rise
Hareau, A., Hofstadter, R. and Saizar, A. (1999). Vulnerability to Climate Change in Uruguay:
Heltberg, R., Siegel, P.B. and Jorgensen, S. (2009). Addressing Human Vulnerability to Climate
Hhiqiang, D., Zhihua, P., Pingli, A., Liwei, W., Jingting, Z. and Xuebiao, P. (2015). A novel
Holzmann, P., Boudreau, T., Holt, J. and Lawrence, M. (2008). The Household Economy
Huq, N., Boon, J.H.E. and Gain, A. (2015). Climate Change Impacts in Agricultural
IANS (2022). Agriculture Ministry to Create Integrated Portal for Real-Time Crop Forecasting
IPCC1 (2001). Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to
IPCC2 (2013). Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group
IPCC3 (2014). Climate Change 2014: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and
IPCC4 (2022). Climate Change 2022: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Contribution of
Ishtiaque, A., Estoque, R.C., Eakin, H., Parajuli, J. and Rabby, Y.W. (2022). IPCC's current
Janseen, M., Schoon, M., Ke, W. and Borner, K. (2006). Scholarly networks on resilience,
Jose, R., Apura, R., Torre, D., Blanco, A., Dela Cruz, P., Rollan, T., Tañada, E., Laurete, J.,
Jurgilevich, A., Räsänen, F.G. and Juhola, S. (2017). A systematic review of dynamics in climate
Kalli, R. and Jena, P.R. (2022) Combining agriculture, social and climate indicators to classify
Kang, L. and Holbert, K.E. (2005). PRA for vulnerability assessment of power system
Kantamaneni, K., Phillips, M., Thomas, T. and Jenkins, R. (2018). Assessing coastal
Kareemulla, K., Venkattakumar, R. and Samuel, M.P. (2017). An Analysis on Agricultural
Kelly, P.M. and Adger, W.N. (2000). Theory and practice in assessing vulnerability to climate
Kienberger, S., Blaschke, T. and Zaidi, R.Z. (2013). A framework for spatio-temporal scales and
Komali, K. (2016). Counting the cost of coastal vulnerability. Ocean & Coastal Management, 132:
Komali, K., Phillips, M., Thomas, T. and Jenkins, R.E. (2018). Assessing coastal vulnerability:
Development of a combined physical and economic index, Ocean & Coastal Management, 158. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2018.03.039.
Kumar, A., Kumar A., and Kunte, P. (2012). Coastal vulnerability assessment for Chennai, East
Kumar, N.S., Solmon, P.K. and Vishnu-Sankar, R.D. (2014). Assess the vulnerability of climate
Kureya, T. (2013). Household Vulnerability Index Background Document. Unpublished
document. FANRPAN.
Laarhoven, P.J.M. and Pedrycz, W. (1983). A fuzzy extension of Saaty’s priority theory. Fuzzy
Sets Syst., 11: 229–241. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0165-0114(83)80082-7.
Li, X., Tian, H., Wang, Y., Renquing, L., Song, Z., Zhang, F., Xu, M. and Dianmo, L. (2013).
Liang, L., Zhang, F. and Qin, K. (2021). Assessing the Vulnerability of Agricultural Systems to
Liverman, D.M. (1990). Vulnerability to Global environmental change. Journal of Human Ecology,
29(1), 47-55.
Lobell, D.B., Burke, M., Claudia, T., Michael, D.M., Walter, F.P. and Rosamond, L.N. (2008).
Mahmood, R., Ahmed, N., Zhang, L. and Guoqing, L. (2020). Coastal vulnerability assessment
Marco, J. and Elinor, O. (2006). Resilience, vulnerability, and adaptation: A cross-cutting theme
Mitter, H., Kirchner, M., Schönhart, E. (2014). The participation of agricultural stakeholders in
Mohamed, S.A. (2020). Coastal vulnerability assessment using GIS-Based multicriteria analysis
Naudé, W., Amelia, U.S.P. and McGillivray, M. (2009). Measuring Vulnerability: An Overview
Oppenheimer, M. (2013). Climate change impacts: accounting for the human response. Climate
Palanisami, K., Kakumanu, K.R., Nagothu, U.S., Ranganathan, C.R. and David, N.B. (2010).
Panda, A. (2017). Vulnerability to climate variability and drought among small and marginal
Pattnaik, U. and Narayan, K. (2009). Vulnerability and Climate Change: An Analysis of the
Pendleton, E.A., Hammer-Klose, E.S., Thieler, E.R. and William, S.J. (2004). Coastal
Rama, R.C.A., Raju, B. M.K., Rao, S., Rao, K.V., Rao, U.V.M., Ramchandaran, K.,
Rana, R.S., Kalia, V., Singh, S., Randhawa, S.S., Chauhan, R, Katoch, A., Sandal, A., Kumar, R.,
SADC FANR Vulnerability Committee (2004). Vulnerability in Southern Africa: Insights from
Sakhare, A., Patil, A., Giri, P. and Gulame, R. (2019). Crop Yield Prediction and Disease
Sekovski, I., Rio, L.D. and Armaroli, C. (2019). Development of a coastal vulnerability index
Shukla, R., Kamna, S. and Joshi, P.K (2016). Inherent vulnerability of agricultural communities
Sneessens, I., Sauvée, L., Randrianasolo, H. and Ingrand, S. (2019). A framework to assess the
Tao, S., Xu, Y. and Liu, K. (2011). Research progress in agricultural vulnerability to climate
UN (2015). Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015 – 2030. Third UN World
UNDP (2004). Reducing Disaster Risk a challenge for development. A Global Report. . United
UNDRR (United Nations Disaster Risk Reduction) (2009). The United Nations International
Wu, H., Qian, H., and Chen, J. (2017). Assessment of agricultural drought vulnerability in the
Hossain, S.M., Atibudhi, H. and Mishra, S. (2023). Agricultural Vulnerability to Climate Change: A Critical Review of Evolving Assessment Approaches. Grassroots Journal of Natural Resources, 6(1): 141-165. Doi: https://doi.org/10.33002/nr2581.6853.060107
Hossain, S. M., Atibudhi, H., & Mishra, S. (2023). Agricultural Vulnerability to Climate Change: A Critical Review of Evolving Assessment Approaches. Grassroots Journal of Natural Resources, 6(1), 141-165. https://doi.org/10.33002/nr2581.6853.060107
Hossain S.M., Atibudhi H., Mishra S. Agricultural Vulnerability to Climate Change: A Critical Review of Evolving Assessment Approaches. Grassroots Journal of Natural Resources, 2023, 6 (1), 141-165. https://doi.org/10.33002/nr2581.6853.060107
Hossain, Sk Mosharaf, Atibudhi, Hrudananda, Mishra, Subhashree. 2023. “Agricultural Vulnerability to Climate Change: A Critical Review of Evolving Assessment Approaches”. Grassroots Journal of Natural Resources, 6 no. 1: 141-165. https://doi.org/10.33002/nr2581.6853.060107
Hossain, Sk Mosharaf, Hrudananda Atibudhi and Subhashree Mishra. 2023. “Agricultural Vulnerability to Climate Change: A Critical Review of Evolving Assessment Approaches”. Grassroots Journal of Natural Resources, 6 (1): 141-165. https://doi.org/10.33002/nr2581.6853.060107
Crossref: | https://doi.org/10.33002/nr2581.6853.060107 |
EuroPub: | https://europub.co.uk/articles/735339 |
Scilit: | https://www.scilit.net/publications/4bd6fa18b837507627eb54d501027e85 |
Publons: | |
SSRN: | |
Cite Factor: | https://shorturl.at/ignt0 |
Academia.edu: | https://shorturl.at/UgKT7 |
Dimensions: | https://shorturl.at/w7NOb |
ZENODO: | https://zenodo.org/records/11209991 |
OpenAIRE: | https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?pid=10.33002%2Fnr2581.6853.060107 |
Scribd: | https://www.scribd.com/document/734276567/nr-06-01-07-hossain-atibudhi-mishra-m00330 |
ScienceGate: | |
J-Gate: | |
Research Gate: | https://shorturl.at/6tASu |
Google Scholar: | |
Harvard Dataverse: | https://dataverse.harvard.edu/dataset.xhtml?persistentId=doi%3A10.7910%2FDVN%2FKSXE3J&version=DRAFT |
FAO-AGRIS: |
Internet Archive: | https://archive.org/details/nr-06-01-07-hossain-atibudhi-mishra-m00330 |
WorldCat: | https://search.worldcat.org/title/9834899315 |
© 2023 by the author(s). Licensee Grassroots Journal of Natural Resources. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). We allow to freely share (copy and redistribute the material in any medium or format) and adapt (remix, transform, and build upon the material for any purpose, even commercially) with a legal code: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode.
Grassroots Journal of Natural Resources by The Grassroots Institute is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. Based on a work at www.grassrootsjournals.org.
* Prof. Dr. Hans-Peter Nachtnebel (Austria)
* Prof. Dr. Sándor Kerekes (Hungary)
* Prof. Dr. Hafiz Muminjanov (Italy/Tajikistan)
* Prof. Dr. Uygun Aksoy (Turkey)
* Prof. Dr. Ahmad Mahdavi (Iran)
* Dr. Walter Fernandez (India)
* Prof. Dr. Gordana Đurić (Bosnia i Herzegovina)
* Prof. Dr. Ermek Baibagyshov (Kyrgyz Repbulic)
* Dr. Hasrat Arjjumend (Canada)
* Dr. Usongo Patience Abaufei (Cameroon)
* Ms. Areej Sabir (Pakistan)
* Dr. Jason MacLean (Canada)
* Dr. Yuliya Rashchupkina (Canada)
* Dr. Richard leBrasseur (Canada)
* Prof. Dr. Bartha Dénes, DSc (Hungary)
* Dr. Kollányi László (Hungary)
* Dr. Krisztián Katona (Hungary)
* Dr. Marcos Frommel (Uruguay/Argentina)
* Dr. Olena Khrushch (Ukraine)
* Dr. Evgeniya Kopitsa (Ukraine)
* Dr. Anastasiia Zymaroieva (Ukraine)
* Dr. Alla Pecheniuk (Ukraine)
* Dr. Buryk Zoriana (Ukraine)
* Dr. Marius Warg Næss (Norway)
* Dr. Stefano Duglio (Italy)
* Prof. Dr. Maria-Mihaela Antofie (Romania)
* Prof. habil. Dr. Cristiana Radulescu (Romania)
* Dr. Ioana-Daniela Dulama (Romania)
* Dr. Mihaela Stet (Romania)
* Dr. Radoslaw J. Walkowiak (Poland)
* Dr. Wenresti G. Gallardo (Oman)
* Dr. Omprakash Madguni (India)
* Dr. Y. Vasudeva Rao (India)
* Prof. Dr. Sanjay-Swami (India)
* Prof. Dr. Yiching Song (China)
* Prof. Dr. Md. Sirajul Islam (Bangladesh)
* Prof. Dr. Syed Hafizur Rahman (Bangladesh)
* Prof. Dr. Md. Mujibor Rahman (Bangladesh)
* Dr. Shahidul Islam (Bangladesh)
* Dr. Dragojla Golub (Bosnia & Herzegovina)
* Dr. Vesna Rajčević (Bosnia & Herzegovina)
* Dr. Muhamed Katica (Bosnia & Herzegovina)
* Dr. Grujica Vico (Bosnia & Herzegovina)
* Dr. Vesna Tunguz (Bosnia & Herzegovina)
* Prof. Dr. Branka Ljevnaić-Mašić (Serbia)
* Dr. Nikola Boskovic (Serbia)
* Prof. Dr. Afrim Selimaj (Kosovo)
* Prof. Dr. Prasanthi Gunawardena (Sri Lanka)
* Dr. Nishan Sakalasooriya (Sri Lanka)
* Dr. T. Mathiventhan (Sri Lanka)
* Dr. Mokbul Morshed Ahmad (Thailand)
* Dr. Juan M. Pulhin (Philippines)
* Prof. Dr. Rose Jane J. Peras (Philippines)
* Dr. Hildie Maria E. Nacorda (Philippines)
* Izr. Prof. Dr. Matej Ogrin (Slovenia)
* Dr. Zornitsa Stoyanova (Bulgaria)
* Dr. Anna Karova (Bulgaria)
* Dr. Ing. K. Berchová Bímová (Czech Republic)
* Dr. Fauziah Shahul Hamid (Malaysia)
* Prof. Dr. Sampson Umenne (Namibia)
* Dr. M. Surabuddin Mondal (Ethiopia)
* Dr. Firuza Begham Mustafa (Malaysia)
* Prof. Dr. Waleed M.R. Hamza (UAE)
* Dr. Moetaz El Sergany (UAE)
* Dr. Nurzat Totubaeva (Kyrgyz Republic)
* Dr. Eldiiar Duulatov (Kyrgyzstan Republic)
* Dr. Mohinder Slariya (India)
* Dr. Hongfen Zhu (China)
Go to Top